Liveblogging: 9:13 PM

Just got back from my caucus (actually after a diversion to McDonald’s).  In Pleasant Hill Precinct 2:

1. Huckabee – 76  2. Romney – 23  3. Paul – 20  4. Thompson – 18  5. McCain – 6  6. Giuliani – 3  7. Keyes – 1  8. Hunter – 0

ABC and AP has already declared Mike Huckabee the winner for the GOP.

Barack Obama won the Democratic Caucus with over 37%.

9:17 PM – John Edwards is claiming winning 2nd place for the Democrats.  May be too early for that.

9:19PM – Edwards still blabbering on.  I checked WOI-TV 5 (ABC) results as of right now (see below – I’ll keep them updated).

9:31 PM – Hillary sooooo uninspiring.  Senator Charles Grassley (R-IA) giving kudos on Fox News with Sean Hannity and Alan Colmes to Huckabee supporters’ loyalty.

Grassley – “Iowa is important because Iowa gives presidential candidates the ability to get started without having millions in the bank.”

Chris Dodd just dropped out of the race.  Buh Bye!

9:37 PM – Mike Huckabee – “I’m not sure I could ever love a state more than I love my home state of Arkansas, but tonight I love Iowa a whole lot.”

9:40 PM – Huckabee – we learned tonight that “people are more important than the purse.”  Pundits are scratching their heads, Hugh Hewitt is crying.

9:44 PM – Huckabee – “What is happening tonight in Iowa is going to start a prairie fire of new hope and zeal.”

9:48 PM – Sean Hannity, Lt. Gov. Ron Steele (R-MD) & Kirsten Powers – may come down to likeability which is likely why Huckabee and Obama won.

9:50 PM – Huckabee and Obama going to get hit like they have never been hit before (Kirsten Powers)  How in the world could they hit Huckabee more?

9:54 PM – Edwards and Clinton are in a virtual tie in delegate equivalents.

9:56 PM – Huckabee campaign saying they have a great ground game in New Hampshire, first time they have ever said anything like that Bill Hemmer reports.  He said, “they clearly have momentum going into New Hampshire.”

10:03 PM – Shephard Smith & Greta Van Susteren talking about the Ophra factor.  Obama coming out to speak.

10:05 PM – Obama – “You have done what the state of New Hampshire can do in five days, and what America can do in this new year.”

10:06 PM – Obama – “We are one nation, one people and our time for change has come.”  Talking up a unity theme.  “We are choosing hope over fear, choosing unity over division and sending a powerful message that change is coming to America.”

10:08 PM – Obama – I’ll be the president who will make healthcare affordable, give you a chicken in every pot, “end the tyranny of oil.”  End war in Iraq.  Yada Yada.

10:12 PM – Senator Joe Biden drops out – bye bye!

10:15 PM – You know think what you will about Senator Obama, but he is a brilliant speaker and has run an excellent campaign.  “Hope is what led me here today.”  “Hope is the bedrock of our nation… our destiny won’t be written for us, but by us.”

If I were Democrat and liberal… he would have my vote.  He does a very good job personalizing his message.

10:18 PM – Laura Ingraham and Susan Estrich in the same room together sitting next to one another.  Ingraham said Republicans are in trouble with Obama.  Wow.  I’m getting revved up for a potential Huckabee and Obama race.  Got goosebumps thinking about it.

10:22 PM – Susan Estrich – If Romney doesn’t win New Hampshire as a Massachusetts governor  he’s done.

It’s the economy stupid.. both Obama and Huckabee seem to get that.

10:27 PM – Major Garrett – said Edwards is like “I won tonight because I beat Hillary Clinton.”  Clinton is in bad shape right now.

10:33 PM – Huckabee up for an interview:

“It has been a great night for, but it also has been a great night for this country.”  A lot of anxiety in the middle class.  Governors have the experience to address the economic challenges that our country faces.

10:38 PM – Huckabee – “The fact we didn’t have a lot of cash on hand meant we had to be frugal so we had to something the federal government should do – only spend money that they have.”   So fundraising has increased, and they have cash on hand.  They will likely see a surge in fundraising after this win.

10:44 PM – Ingraham – like where is Giuliani?  Either this will be a ingenious strategy or the dumbest political move ever.  Well I’m going to end this for tonight.

GOP Results – 100% Precincts Reporting (Updated – 1/5/08)

  1. Mike Huckabee – 34.41%  (74 counties)
  2. Mitt Romney – 25.23%  (24 counties)
  3. Fred Thompson – 13.40%
  4. John McCain – 13.11%
  5. Ron Paul – 9.95%  (1 county)
  6. Rudy Giuliani – 3.45%
  7. Duncan Hunter – 0.44%
  8. Tom Tancredo – 0.004% (apparently some people forgot he dropped out.)

DNC Results – 100% Precincts Reporting

  1. Barack Obama – 38%
  2. John Edwards – 30%
  3. Hillary Clinton – 29%
  4. Bill Richardson – 2%
  5. Joe Biden – 1%
  6. Chris Dodd – 0.1%

Update – 1/4/08 4:03 PM: Interesting to see entrance polls from CNN.

With Huckabee:

  • He won the most men (29%) and women (40%)
  • Led among all voters regardless of their views of on the events in Pakistan.
  • Won 46% of voters who consider themselves born-again Christians, Romney, won 33% of those who claim not to be.
  • Huckabee won all those who were ethusiastic (38%), Satisfied (34%), and dissatisfied (31%) with Bush.  Ron Paul naturally won those who were angry at Bush (54%).
  • Won all regions in Iowa.
  • One in all income brackets, with the exception of those who made $100,000 or more (Romney won bracket).
  • Whether the top issue was illegal immigration, war in Iraq, economy, or terrorism – Huckabee won among each group.
  • Top candidate qualities – “say what he believes” (33%), “shares my values” (44%).
  • He won the suburban and rural vote, came in second in urban vote.
  • He had the most long-term loyalty.
  • He won every age group.

Interesting.

 

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6 comments
  1. Congratulations on a big win. I especially appreciated the dragonslayer in the other party. Bob Vander Hart in Grafton MA alerted me to your blog. I should mention that, in light of your work with young people in central Iowa, for several years I was the pastor out at Cono Christian School in Walker, north of Cedar Rapids. They are a fine outfit, a boarding school doing wonderful work with kids who have “strained relationships” at home or who are in need of boundaries in those critical teenaged years. http://www.cono.org. Just in case you don’t know or know someone who can use it.

  2. Congratulations on a big win. I especially appreciated the dragonslayer in the other party. Bob Vander Hart in Grafton MA alerted me to your blog. I should mention that, in light of your work with young people in central Iowa, for several years I was the pastor out at Cono Christian School in Walker, north of Cedar Rapids. They are a fine outfit, a boarding school doing wonderful work with kids who have “strained relationships” at home or who are in need of boundaries in those critical teenaged years. http://www.cono.org. Just in case you don’t know or know someone who can use it.

  3. Congratulations on a big win. I especially appreciated the dragonslayer in the other party. Bob Vander Hart in Grafton MA alerted me to your blog. I should mention that, in light of your work with young people in central Iowa, for several years I was the pastor out at Cono Christian School in Walker, north of Cedar Rapids. They are a fine outfit, a boarding school doing wonderful work with kids who have “strained relationships” at home or who are in need of boundaries in those critical teenaged years. http://www.cono.org. Just in case you don’t know or know someone who can use it.

  4. Thanks, I have heard of them but didn’t really know much. I’ll check them out. They may be a potential re-entry aftercare partner. We’ll see.

    I’m not sure that I know Bob, but I do know of Vander Harts out your way. If you get a chance ask him if he went to the big reunion in Pella, IA a few years ago.

  5. Thanks, I have heard of them but didn’t really know much. I’ll check them out. They may be a potential re-entry aftercare partner. We’ll see.

    I’m not sure that I know Bob, but I do know of Vander Harts out your way. If you get a chance ask him if he went to the big reunion in Pella, IA a few years ago.

  6. Thanks, I have heard of them but didn’t really know much. I’ll check them out. They may be a potential re-entry aftercare partner. We’ll see.

    I’m not sure that I know Bob, but I do know of Vander Harts out your way. If you get a chance ask him if he went to the big reunion in Pella, IA a few years ago.

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