Congratulations to Senator John McCain who won the South Carolina primary.

With 97% of the precincts coming in:

  • McCain – 33%
  • Huckabee – 30%
  • Thompson – 16%
  • Romney – 15%
  • Paul – 4%
  • Giuliani – 2%

McCain won the independent vote, the moderate vote, the military vote, and seniors.  Huckabee and McCain split with Republicans.  Huckabee won among evangelicals, though not as much as he had hoped, Fred Thompson took some of the evangelical vote away from him.  Huckabee also won among conservatives.

Future?  Who knows?

This has definitely put Senator McCain in a very good position going into Florida where there is currently a four-way statistical tie in the polls (with McCain with a slight edge over Huckabee, Romney and Giuliani).

Romney won the Nevada Caucus, but I don’t think will be a big bounce for him since he was expected to win.  Twenty-five percent of the GOP voters who caucused are Mormon and he won 100% of them.  So nobody really campaigned there.  He is currently leading in delegates, but still don’t see him winning the nomination.  His strength is that he can self-fund his campaign.

Not winning South Carolina does hurt Governor Huckabee.  Winning Florida will be extremely difficult.  He still is leading polls in several southern states, but what kind of bounce McCain will see after South Carolina is uncertain.  He has a disadvantage with money and organization.

Thompson is done.  I will be surprised if he doesn’t hang it up after tonight.  He said that he needed to do well in South Carolina, I don’t think coming in third place with 16% of the vote could be considered doing well.

Giuliani, if he doesn’t win Florida I think he will be through.  Frankly, I don’t think somebody who has come in second to last in every contest so far really deserves the nomination.

Congressman Paul, kudos for him coming in second in Nevada, he has no chance and I’m not sure who is helped by him staying in it.

Congressman Hunter will be dropping out I heard on Fox News.  I’m surprised it took this long.

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12 comments
  1. Ron Paul will only stand to gain more and more recognition of his message of truly limited government, END WELFARE FOR ILLEGALS and END BIRTHRIGHT CITIZENSHIP, no income taxes, sound monetary policies, humble foreign policy, school choice, school prayer, abolishing Dept of Homeland Security, and certainly NOT a flip-flopper, would get rid of the Patriot Act and protect civil liberties, abolish torture, and would legalize hemp. Ron knows what it will take to save our economic well being. He will turn the military industrial complex on its head.

    Now if only someone would take a stand to end this media consolidation in this country!! And during this election I’ve realized that Faux News is TRULY a propaganda machine – worse than I thought. I’m a Republican who HATES Fox News.

  2. Ron Paul will only stand to gain more and more recognition of his message of truly limited government, END WELFARE FOR ILLEGALS and END BIRTHRIGHT CITIZENSHIP, no income taxes, sound monetary policies, humble foreign policy, school choice, school prayer, abolishing Dept of Homeland Security, and certainly NOT a flip-flopper, would get rid of the Patriot Act and protect civil liberties, abolish torture, and would legalize hemp. Ron knows what it will take to save our economic well being. He will turn the military industrial complex on its head.

    Now if only someone would take a stand to end this media consolidation in this country!! And during this election I’ve realized that Faux News is TRULY a propaganda machine – worse than I thought. I’m a Republican who HATES Fox News.

  3. Ron Paul will only stand to gain more and more recognition of his message of truly limited government, END WELFARE FOR ILLEGALS and END BIRTHRIGHT CITIZENSHIP, no income taxes, sound monetary policies, humble foreign policy, school choice, school prayer, abolishing Dept of Homeland Security, and certainly NOT a flip-flopper, would get rid of the Patriot Act and protect civil liberties, abolish torture, and would legalize hemp. Ron knows what it will take to save our economic well being. He will turn the military industrial complex on its head.

    Now if only someone would take a stand to end this media consolidation in this country!! And during this election I’ve realized that Faux News is TRULY a propaganda machine – worse than I thought. I’m a Republican who HATES Fox News.

  4. It will be interesting to see what happens next. I think each candidate brings something good to the table but winning the nomination is only “pre-season.” The GOP needs to nominate the strongest, best possible candidate – one that can go the distance.

  5. It will be interesting to see what happens next. I think each candidate brings something good to the table but winning the nomination is only “pre-season.” The GOP needs to nominate the strongest, best possible candidate – one that can go the distance.

  6. It will be interesting to see what happens next. I think each candidate brings something good to the table but winning the nomination is only “pre-season.” The GOP needs to nominate the strongest, best possible candidate – one that can go the distance.

  7. Jason – stop drinking that kool-aid!

    DMG – very true. In recent Real Clear Politics head to head polls McCain does the best…. Romney actually does the worst.

    I think the best two to face the Democrats would be Huckabee or McCain. Perhaps on a ticket together? I’d like to see Huckabee/McCain, but it looks like a McCain/Huckabee ticket would be more likely. Romney is going to be a hard contender with 72 delagates, but with Super Tuesday who knows? Huckabee was leading in most of the south with Florida being the exception. If those states go his way, and if he can win Florida with Texas being a state he is leading in that will give him a good number of delagates as well.

    Who knows? I have a feeling the GOP won’t have a nominee until the convention, and that it will likely be a brokered convention. I hope I’m wrong though.

  8. Jason – stop drinking that kool-aid!

    DMG – very true. In recent Real Clear Politics head to head polls McCain does the best…. Romney actually does the worst.

    I think the best two to face the Democrats would be Huckabee or McCain. Perhaps on a ticket together? I’d like to see Huckabee/McCain, but it looks like a McCain/Huckabee ticket would be more likely. Romney is going to be a hard contender with 72 delagates, but with Super Tuesday who knows? Huckabee was leading in most of the south with Florida being the exception. If those states go his way, and if he can win Florida with Texas being a state he is leading in that will give him a good number of delagates as well.

    Who knows? I have a feeling the GOP won’t have a nominee until the convention, and that it will likely be a brokered convention. I hope I’m wrong though.

  9. Jason – stop drinking that kool-aid!

    DMG – very true. In recent Real Clear Politics head to head polls McCain does the best…. Romney actually does the worst.

    I think the best two to face the Democrats would be Huckabee or McCain. Perhaps on a ticket together? I’d like to see Huckabee/McCain, but it looks like a McCain/Huckabee ticket would be more likely. Romney is going to be a hard contender with 72 delagates, but with Super Tuesday who knows? Huckabee was leading in most of the south with Florida being the exception. If those states go his way, and if he can win Florida with Texas being a state he is leading in that will give him a good number of delagates as well.

    Who knows? I have a feeling the GOP won’t have a nominee until the convention, and that it will likely be a brokered convention. I hope I’m wrong though.

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