Congratulations to Senator John McCain who won the South Carolina primary.
With 97% of the precincts coming in:
- McCain – 33%
- Huckabee – 30%
- Thompson – 16%
- Romney – 15%
- Paul – 4%
- Giuliani – 2%
McCain won the independent vote, the moderate vote, the military vote, and seniors. Huckabee and McCain split with Republicans. Huckabee won among evangelicals, though not as much as he had hoped, Fred Thompson took some of the evangelical vote away from him. Huckabee also won among conservatives.
Future? Who knows?
This has definitely put Senator McCain in a very good position going into Florida where there is currently a four-way statistical tie in the polls (with McCain with a slight edge over Huckabee, Romney and Giuliani).
Romney won the Nevada Caucus, but I don’t think will be a big bounce for him since he was expected to win. Twenty-five percent of the GOP voters who caucused are Mormon and he won 100% of them. So nobody really campaigned there. He is currently leading in delegates, but still don’t see him winning the nomination. His strength is that he can self-fund his campaign.
Not winning South Carolina does hurt Governor Huckabee. Winning Florida will be extremely difficult. He still is leading polls in several southern states, but what kind of bounce McCain will see after South Carolina is uncertain. He has a disadvantage with money and organization.
Thompson is done. I will be surprised if he doesn’t hang it up after tonight. He said that he needed to do well in South Carolina, I don’t think coming in third place with 16% of the vote could be considered doing well.
Giuliani, if he doesn’t win Florida I think he will be through. Frankly, I don’t think somebody who has come in second to last in every contest so far really deserves the nomination.
Congressman Paul, kudos for him coming in second in Nevada, he has no chance and I’m not sure who is helped by him staying in it.
Congressman Hunter will be dropping out I heard on Fox News. I’m surprised it took this long.