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The Iowa Independent highlighted a poll that showed a majority of Iowans favor public insurance option.  It says that 62% of Iowans favor health care reform with a public insurance option over the current Senate bill that doesn’t have it.  This includes 67% of independents.

This poll was commissioned by the Progressive Change Campaign Committee, Democracy for Action and Credo Action and was done by Research 2000.  It polled 600 likely general election voters in 2010.  Those who responded included 33% Democrat, 28% Republican and 38% independent.

First thought, well I can’t write what I thought and maintain a somewhat family friendly blog.  Second thought, look who commissioned this.  Thirdly this is way out in left field (literally) compared to all the other polls I’ve seen nationally and polling that has been done in Iowa that would contradict this.

Nationally we have:

Research 2000 has conducted similar polls with the same organizations commissioning with similar results, but I don’t seen anyone paying serious attention.  Why?  Because it isn’t believable.  For instance, 61% in Virginia support the public option where Bob McDonnell won the Gubernatorial race in a landslide.  Exit polling showed that healthcare was the second most important issue in that race second to the economy/jobs.

In Iowa

Research 2000 also did the recent KCCI poll that seems off compared to other polling in the Gubernatorial race as well.  They said Governor Culver’s approval rating was 44%.  A recent Iowa poll found it to be 36%.  An eight point difference is pretty significant.  The Iowa Poll also polled hypothetical head to head matchups which I highlighted last week.

Former Governor Terry Branstad leads Governor Chet Culver by 20 points (53% to 33%) while Culver is within the margin of error with the other candidates – Bob Vander Plaats (trailing 43% to 40%), Chris Rants (leading 41% to 37%), and Rod Roberts (leading 41% to 36% – just outside margin of error +/- 4.3%).

The KCCI/Research 2000 poll shows in hypothetical match-ups:

  • Former Governor Terry Branstad leads Governor Chet Culver 54% to 38%
  • However, Culver leads Bob Vander Plaats in a head to head 41% to 38%
  • Culver leads Chris Rants (whose now out) 44% to 33%
  • Culver leads Rod Roberts 48% to 26%

A considerable difference and this doesn’t jive with the latest Rasmussen poll with the Vander Plaats-Culver match-up which shows Vander Plaats leading Culver 46% to 40%.  It is also considerably different than the TIR/Concordia Group poll that was commissioned.  It shows Branstad polling ahead of Culver 57% to 28% and Vander Plaats leading Culver 43% to 39%.

So what does this tell us?  That the Research 2000 polls are pure poppycock and shouldn’t be trusted.

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1 comment
  1. Shane, many national and state-level polls have shown broader support for a public health insurance option than for the bills currently under consideration in Congress. Even a significant number of Republicans favor a public option for health insurance.

    Congressional Democrats could have realigned this country for a generation if they had passed health care reform with a public option. Fortunately for Republicans and unfortunately for the country, too many Democrats sold out to the corporate interests trying to block stronger reform.

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