ADVERTISEMENT

bradzaun A Victory Enterprises poll conducted on June 17, 2010 shows State Senator Brad Zaun (R-Urbandale) leading Congressman Leonard Boswell by 9 points.  When asked, “If the general election were held today for whom would you vote?” 41% said Zaun, 31.8% said Boswell with 26.8% being undecided.

Also only 28.6% of those surveyed said that Boswell deserves to be re-elected, with 52.3% saying it’s time to give somebody else a chance.

While there is still a large percentage of people who are undecided, this polling doesn’t bode well for Boswell in a year where the Democrat brand has been damaged due to overspending and Obamacare and an anti-incumbent tone.  Zaun is well positioned to be extremely competitive.

What should make this polling even more troubling for the Boswell campaign is the demographic breakdown:

The respondents were 43% Democrat, 38% Republican and 19% Independent. In addition, 48% were male and 52% female. 66% of the respondents were from Polk County with the remaining 34% balanced, according to previous off-year turnout models, from the remaining eleven counties that make-up the 3rd District.
Age breakouts were as follows:

18-34 – 13.3%
35-49 – 25.8%
50-63 – 32.0%
64+ – 29.0%

With more Democrats being polled than Republicans, and more women than men it Boswell should be concerned that he trails by 9 points at this point in the race.

This is internal polling commissioned by the Zaun campaign, but I did say earlier after the primary, that I would never doubt his internal polling again since it was pretty dead on.  I’m keeping my word.

You can read the polling summary below:

Update: Linked by Jim Geraghty at National Review’s The Campaign Spot

2nd Update: Linked at The Beanwalker

Subscribe For Latest Updates

Sign up to receive stimulating conservative Christian commentary in your inbox.

Invalid email address
We promise not to spam you. You can unsubscribe at any time.
You May Also Like

WATCH: WHO-TV Iowa 4th Congressional District Republican Debate

WHO-TV hosted a debate between Iowa’s 4th Congressional District’s GOP Primary candidates: Randy Feenstra, Steve King, Bret Richards, and Jeremy Taylor.

Was Mark Jacobs’ Gaffe on Iraq & Iran Headline Material?

The Des Moines Register editorial board interviewed Republican U.S. Senate hopeful, Mark…

The FAMiLY Leader’s Lack of Prolife Leadership

I received an email yesterday from The FAMiLY Leader written by Chuck…

Naig, Farm Leaders Rally Behind Miller-Meeks

A coalition of 114 farm leaders chaired by Iowa Secretary of Agriculture Mike Naig announced their support of Mariannette Miller-Meeks in Iowa’s 2nd Congressional District race.