Rasmussen, one of the most respected national polling companies just did a poll for the Iowa GOP caucus race as it stands one week prior to the Ames Straw Poll. The results were announced today on 630AM WMAL from our nation’s capital. I expect the full report and details to be release over the next day or two, but here is what was announced thus far:
- Bachmann 22%
- Romney 21%
- Paul 16%
- Perry 12%
- Pawlenty 11%
- Although the remaining breakdown has not yet been announced, this leaves 18% split between the remaining candidates.
- Bachmann 29%
- Romney 16%
- Pawlenty 8%
- Cain 8%
- Ginrich 5%
- Paul 5%
- Santorum 3%
- Paul 24%
- Bachmann 22%
- Pawlenty 17%
- Romney 8%
- Perry (write in) 7%
- Santorum 7%
- Palin (write in) 5%
- Gingrich 5%
- Cain 3%
- McCotter 1%
- Huntsman 1%
- Paul will claim victory, and rightly so for winning, but will be largely dismissed despite the win. A straw poll win may be indicative of his hard core supporters coming out to support him, but keep in mind that the Rasmussen Poll is of mainstream everyday Republicans not just hard core crazy supporters. His support among mainstream Republicans is rising and he can’t be dismissed much longer.
- Bachmann, will claim victory for exceeding expectations, even though real expectations are that she wins. Her campaign will spin it as Paul’s support is not real, just amplified dedicated crazies, and the second place finish behind Paul is the real victor.
- Pawlenty will claim a sense of victory, having exceeded his paltry poll numbers. But in actuality, considering he has put everything he has figuratively and literally as his campaign cash dwindles into the Straw Poll, anything less than first is really disappointing,. Perry, smelling Pawlenty blood in the water, will announce within the next week and the mass exodus from the Pawlenty campaign staff to Perry will begin.
- Santorum will also claim victory for having exceeded his poll numbers, but everyone will be able to see through this spin. I’m not sure he will be around come September, let alone caucus day.
- Romney, Perry and Palin can each claim victory with somewhat respectable showings despite little to no perceptible effort toward the straw poll.
- Gingrich, Cain and McCotter are the clear losers at the end of the day. Gingrich says his campaign is still rebuilding and will predict a better showing come caucus time, and I have a feeling he will stick with it. Cain will stick around till his new book comes out. McCotter will move on to New Hampshire, hoping his guitar skills will be better appreciated in the granite state.
- Huntsman nothing lost, nothing gained, sticking with New Hampshire.
- Romney: 24% (17%) +7
- Perry: 17% (15%) +2
- Paul: 14% (8%) +6
- Bachmann: 13% (11%) +2
- Gingrich: 7% (3%) +4
- Cain: 4% (3%) +1
- Pawlenty: 3% (2%) +1
- Huntsman 2% (2%) No Change
- Santorum 1% (2%) -1
He and his wife attended nursing school together before he started medical school.They plan on using their medical training to serve others.They have gone on several construction and medical trips to South Africa, Namibia, Zambia, Peru, and most recently Afghanistan in 2009.
Dustin considers himself to be a “Christian Libertarian.” He is unapologetically, and absolutely 100% pro-life. Dustin credits Ron Paul's run in 2008 for revitalizing Dustin's interest in politics.He has recently been an activist for liberty in the Iowa City area.
He also ran for the Iowa House in 2010 as a Libertarian.It was a somewhat symbolic run, as no third party has ever been elected to the Iowa legislature, but it allowed him to discuss limited government solutions to our current problems as well as gave people another option, as the incumbent was running unopposed.
His career interests include medical ethics, critical care medicine and organ transplantation.He serves on the University of Iowa's ethics committee.
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