hermancain1Yesterday the latest Iowa Caucus Poll was released by Rasmussen.  It shows the former Godfather’s Pizza CEO, Herman Cain, leading the Republican field.  Out of 800 likely Republican Caucus participants Cain had 28%.  Former Massachusetts Governor Mitt Romney was seven points behind at 21%.  Texas Congressman Ron Paul was a distant third at 10%.   Former Speaker Newt Gingrich has 9%, Minnesota Congresswoman Michele Bachman has 8%, Texas Governor Rick Perry has 7%, Former Senator Rick Santorum has 4%, and former Utah Governor Jon Huntsman has 2%.  8% are undecided.

Cain has taken a well-deserved beating this week, and while the Phoenix has risen once I highly doubt he can do so again.  He has been caught saying one thing to one group and the opposite thing to anotherHe “misspoke” regarding negotiating with terrorists.  He said he was both anti-abortion and pro-choice.  Since he doesn’t have a record what are we supposed to believe?

The rest of the field has dumped on his 9-9-9 plan, rightly pointing out it will raise taxes on lower and middle class families, and adds another revenue stream (sales tax).  He says phase 2 will be the implementation of the Fair Tax, but there is no guarantee that will be implemented and we could find ourselves with both an income tax and sales tax that can be raised… Europe anyone?  Under the pressure he’s already been forced to tweak his plan.

The magic number in this poll is 32%.  Only one-third of respondents say that their support is firm.  Ask Congresswoman Bachmann and Governor Perry about what soft support will do to you.  Don’t be surprised to see a different frontrunner next time the poll is released.

  1. Shane Vander Hart,

    Have you seen this from CNN?   If Cain is trying to woo conservative Evangelicals, he will have an uphill battle.  You  are probably too young to remember when the Evangelical world was all “A Twitter”  when Evangelical Jimmy Carter won the Presidency.  Southern Baptist Church member.  What’s the Problem?   Now we know.  Would be interesting to know if Cain’s Antioch Baptist Church is affiliated with the Southern Baptist Conference or the American Baptist Conference.

    Anyway, here’s the vid.


  2. Sad that so many conservatives were (are still?) duped by Cain. I think that GOP Iowans have been embarrassing themselves a bit by gushing over Bachmann, then Perry and now Cain. I know you like Santorum but it is hard to see him take Iowa since he has languished below 5% for so long.

    I am still predicting a Romney caucus win in Iowa. Hard to imagine anyone else winning – today anyway.

    1. Iowa hasn’t been any different than the rest of the nation, look at the national trends. Support is soft, and people are trying to figure out who to support.

      Romney could win because of a divided field, not due to any merit on his part. He doesn’t deserve to win here, and his campaign’s conduct in Nevada and Florida is unbecoming as well

      1. Does he deserve to win in New Hampshire? I do wish there was a strong conservative candidate but Huckabee chose not to enter and the rest of the candidates are not all that appealing. 

        I do think that Iowans were embarrassed when Bachmann won the Iowa straw poll but was immediately dumped when Perry got in. This year Iowans seem to be chasing the latest not Romney candidate.

        Romney may not merit the win in your opinion but I still predict that he will win because Iowans will eventually see that he is the best candidate. Probably no need to argue about it as the results will soon be in as scrappy Iowa will probably caucus before the end of the month just so that they can be first. 🙂

      1. I think one difference is that Romney can’t dupe anybody — You know that you can’t be certain about what he’ll do.  But at least with Romney, you know you’ll being taken for a ride and for the most part, you hope it’s not a bad one given that he’s at least not a terrible driver. Contrast with someone like Bachmann, with whom you can be pretty certain you’ll be headed straight to crazyland if she’s allowed to drive.

        And Cain seems to confuse the sizzle (e.g. advertising plans: 999, 909 ,etc.) with the steak. To carry on with the restaurant metaphor: “Where’s the beef?”

      2. America does not need someone who will change positions at the flip of a dime! He is just a liberal with conservative clothing, if he doesnt win the nomination he will just run as a Democrat next time

      3. Not sure legislators like Obama make the best presidents. Four years ago the GOP chose a senator/legislator over two ex-governors (Huckabee and Romney) who lost to one of his fellow senators. We have three candidates now with experience as governors. I suspect any of them could beat one time legislator Obama.

  3. I would like to hear the answers the other candidates would give if asked those same questions Cain was asked pertaining to the prisoner exchange and abortion. I’ll bet their answers would be roughly similar to his. We should not judge him until we hear their positions. All candidates should be held to the same standard. I wonder why they weren’t asked.  I have examined the clarification which Cain offered vis a vis abortion in the hard cases and I find it convincing. It is very difficult to articulate  a clear position on such an emotional and complex issue in a few sentences, under the pressure of TV debates. But he leaves me with no doubt as to where he stands. He is certainly opposed to abortion on demand but has some reservations about cases such as rape or where a mother’s life is threatened by carrying to term. I believe polling now shows that is the position of most Americans, and, in fact most pro lifers.

    You warn us that Cain is besmirched by that fault, unheard of in politicians, of  ‘saying one thing to one group and the opposite to another’. Please explain something to us lesser mortals: why then is it all right to say one thing to one group and the opposite to the SAME GROUP? On the abortion issue alone Mr. Romney proclaimed himself pro choice, then pro life, then pro choice, and now, presto, pro life again – all to essentially the same people. What will he be tomorrow? And how consistent has he been on other issues? Well … Oops I think I need to puke!

    1. Abortion is murder no matter if its from rape or if the womens life is in danger! Who are we to deciede that a womens life is worth more than a childs, whether born or unborn

  4. As a long-time Cain supporter, even I have to admit that I’m uneasy about some of his comments on negotiating with terrorists and the pro-life issue.  I have to keep reminded myself, however, that we don’t have any angels running.  Everyone’s got flaws, and it’s just an issue of deciding who’s the best among all the available candidates.  Maybe it isn’t Cain, but I’m curious who you see as a stronger contender? 

    1. As a lobbyist for the National Restaurant Association Herman Cain had a few strange legislative positions. He was against lowering the blood alcohol level for drunk driving and seemed also lobby a bit for the tobacco industry when he opposed raising taxes on cigarettes. Reminds me of how John McCain was an advocate for new casinos on Native American land.

      1. Heck, _I_ am against lowering the BAC for drunk driving– if you can’t tell something is wrong by how they’re driving, it’s stupid to give them a ticket, and I don’t like the feds bullying the states into the .08 limit.

      2. Heck, _I_ am against lowering the BAC for drunk driving– if you can’t tell something is wrong by how they’re driving, it’s stupid to give them a ticket, and I don’t like the feds bullying the states into the .08 limit.

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