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Ok, I generally don’t stick my neck out making predictions, but this year I thought I’d have some fun and make some for the coming year.

Disclaimer: I have not claimed to be a prophet. I reserve the right to shrug off any prediction I get wrong and to crow about any prediction I get right.

Second disclaimer: These are predictions not endorsements.

  1. President Trump will win re-election based on a strong economy and low unemployment numbers.
  2. Democrats will beat the “eliminate the electoral college” drum even louder rights after the 2020 election.
  3. Iowa will vote to re-elect Donald Trump.
  4. Republicans will retain control of the U.S. Senate, and make gains in the U.S. House but not enough to win it back.
  5. The Senate will not vote to convict President Donald Trump. No Republican Senator will vote to remove the president from office. (This one is a no-brainer.)
  6. Pete Buttigieg will win the Iowa Caucus after a close race that will see Amy Klobuchar break into the top four.
  7. Joe Biden will win the Democratic nomination after a lengthy battle that will see three different candidates win the first four contests. (Buttigieg in Iowa, Bernie Sanders in New Hampshire, and Biden in South Carolina and Nevada.)
  8. Trump will have the opportunity to make one more Supreme Court pick.
  9. Joni Ernst will win re-election against Theresa Greenfield in Iowa’s U.S. Senate race.
  10. Iowa Republicans will swing at least one Congressional seat, the most likely seat I believe is in Iowa’s 3rd Congressional District, so I predict David Young will defeat Cindy Axne in their rematch.
  11. Much to Democrats chagrin, Congressman Steve King, R-Iowa, will win a 9th term. The Republican primary in Iowa’s 4th Congressional District will be closer than expected, but he will defeat J.D. Scholten by a larger margin in the general election than he did in 2018.
  12. Republicans will retain control of the Iowa Senate and the Iowa House.

What are your predictions? Share your thoughts by leaving a comment.

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