DES MOINES, Iowa – A new internal poll shows that Republican challenger and former U.S. Rep. David Young holds a slight lead over Democratic incumbent U.S. Rep. Cindy Axne in Iowa’s 3rd Congressional District race.
The poll surveyed 400 registered likely voters in the district on July 7-9, 2020. The margin of error is +/-4.9 percent. The poll was conducted by the Terrance Group and commissioned by Young’s campaign and the National Republican Congressional Committee.
Young leads Axne 44 percent to 43 percent with the Libertarian nominee, Bryan Holder, drawing six percent. Seven percent of those polled said they were undecided. In March, Terrance Group found Young and Axne were tied 48 apiece, and Holder was not part of that poll.
The rematch between Young and Axne is considered a toss-up by Cook Political Report. Axne unseated Young in 2018 in a close race, edging the two-term congressman 49.3 percent to 47.1 with under 8,000 votes separating the two.
Axne heads into November with a significant voter registration advantage. There are over 15,000 more registered Democrats than Republicans, something she did not enjoy in 2018.