Donald Trump at a campaign rally in Burlington, Iowa. (Photo credit: Dave Davidson - Prezography.com)
Donald Trump at a campaign rally in Burlington, Iowa.
Photo credit: Dave Davidson (Prezography.com)

Donald Trump has won the New York Primary. This is not a surprise, Trump was expected to win his home state. Ninety-five delegates are up for grabs.

As of this writing 96% of the precincts have reported in:

  1. Donald Trump – 60% (479,406) 89 delegates
  2. John Kasich – 25.2% (201,340) 3 delegates
  3. Ted Cruz – 14.8% (117,969)

I had thought Cruz would have performed better in Western New York and Upstate New York, so that was disappointing. The two contests to watch moving forward is the Indiana Primary and the California primary as they will likely be the most competitive.

Six observations about the New York Primary:

1. More Republicans voted in Wisconsin than voted in New York.

1,101,123 people voted in the Wisconsin Republican Primary. Currently (this will go a little higher, but won’t surpass Wisconsin) 798,715 people have voted in New York’s Republican Primary.

Can somebody explain to me why New York is given 95 delegates and Wisconsin is only given 42? This should be based on actually number of Republicans participating in the primary, not the population of the state which brings me to my next point.

2. Trump winning New York in the general election is unlikely.

Should Donald Trump win the nomination there is absolutely no way he can carry his own state, but states like Utah and Mississippi are at risk. Tonight 798,715 people voted in the Republican primary. 1,714,851 people voted in the Democrat primary almost one million more people.

3. Cruz in Texas vs. Trump in New York

Cruz’s win in Texas was far more impressive than Trump’s win in New York. Trump had 480,392 Republicans vote for him in the New York Primary. Cruz had 1,239,370 people vote for him in Texas and this with additional candidates. Cruz also received 104 delegates to Trump’s 89 delegates.

4. Are the New York rules unfair?

Lets see… Trump wins 60% of the vote and receives almost 94% of the delegates. I’m not really complaining, but Trump shouldn’t complain when he loses delegates in states that allocate them through the convention process either.

5. Trump still lost to Cruz in terms of numbers of delegates in April.

It looks like Trump will receive 89 delegates. Cruz has won 102 delegates in April. His win in New York was expected, being shut out in delegates in the previous five contests was not.

6. No honor in his own hometown.

Currently Kasich leads Trump in Manhattan – where Trump lives.

6 comments
  1. “It looks like Trump will receive 89 delegates. Cruz has won 102 delegates in April. His win in New York was expected, being shut out in delegates in the previous five contests was not.”

    Yes, but Cruz may get less than 20 the rest of April and Trump will get at least 150. April will be a net loss for Cruz by about 2 to 1.

  2. While there is still a potential for a contested convention, the Trump & media narrative has already begun that Cruz can’t win & should get out. As Trump has more meaningless wins in blue states, the drumbeat will increase & the sheeple will follow. I am still hoping, but experience tells me it will take a miracle. 🙁

    1. Grace, Trump won all the southeastern states plus Nevada and Arizona. Those were not ‘meaningless’ wins in blue states. What is left are a handful of ‘red’ states and mostly large-population blue & purple states.

      I’m also not sure why one would think blue state wins are meaningless. Any Presidential contender would have to take a number of blue states in the general. While Trump would have difficulty doing this in the general, Cruz has almost no chance and would likely lose a fair number of traditionally red and purple states as well. But to be fair, neither are nationally viable candidates and so it probably won’t matter.

  3. Here are my six conclusions: 1. Cruz cannot win the nomination. He should drop out, and throw his support to the frontrunner, in the interest of party unity, and beating Hillary in the general election. 2. See 1. 3. See 1. 4. See 1. 5. See 1. 6. See 1.

    1. But I disagree with your Cruz in Texas vs. Trump in New York contrast, Shane. Cruz got 43.8 percent in his home state, but Trump got 60.4 percent in his home state. Trump finished second in Texas, with a respectable 26.7 percent of the vote. Cruz finished third out of three candidates in New York, with less than 15 percent of the vote.

      It’s over for Cruz. He seems like a nice enough guy, but he has won in very few places. Ted needs to do the right thing.

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