Ok, I generally don’t stick my neck out making predictions, but this year I thought I’d have some fun and make some for the coming year.
Disclaimer: I have not claimed to be a prophet. I reserve the right to shrug off any prediction I get wrong and to crow about any prediction I get right.
Second disclaimer: These are predictions not endorsements.
- President Trump will win re-election based on a strong economy and low unemployment numbers.
- Democrats will beat the “eliminate the electoral college” drum even louder rights after the 2020 election.
- Iowa will vote to re-elect Donald Trump.
- Republicans will retain control of the U.S. Senate, and make gains in the U.S. House but not enough to win it back.
- The Senate will not vote to convict President Donald Trump. No Republican Senator will vote to remove the president from office. (This one is a no-brainer.)
- Pete Buttigieg will win the Iowa Caucus after a close race that will see Amy Klobuchar break into the top four.
- Joe Biden will win the Democratic nomination after a lengthy battle that will see three different candidates win the first four contests. (Buttigieg in Iowa, Bernie Sanders in New Hampshire, and Biden in South Carolina and Nevada.)
- Trump will have the opportunity to make one more Supreme Court pick.
- Joni Ernst will win re-election against Theresa Greenfield in Iowa’s U.S. Senate race.
- Iowa Republicans will swing at least one Congressional seat, the most likely seat I believe is in Iowa’s 3rd Congressional District, so I predict David Young will defeat Cindy Axne in their rematch.
- Much to Democrats chagrin, Congressman Steve King, R-Iowa, will win a 9th term. The Republican primary in Iowa’s 4th Congressional District will be closer than expected, but he will defeat J.D. Scholten by a larger margin in the general election than he did in 2018.
- Republicans will retain control of the Iowa Senate and the Iowa House.
What are your predictions? Share your thoughts by leaving a comment.
