The South Carolina Strategy

sc_flag_stateNo Republican candidate for president has won the nomination of the party without winning the South Carolina going back to Ronald Reagan in 1980. With this fact in mind, the candidates attention now turns to South Carolina.  Last Friday, Mitt Romney and Governor Nikki Haley are at the Peanut warehouse in Conway, SC. Newt Gingrich is planning a visit to Florence on Tuesday at the Art Trail Gallery.  Santorum and Paul are making visits as well.

The main impact that the results in Iowa seem to be having in South Carolina is that it has brought Santorum into the conversation among Republicans in South Carolina. He has visited the state more than Romney and Gingrich and hopes his strong showing in Iowa will be a springboard for him pulling an upset by winning South Carolina.

After Iowa, the media is focusing on New Hampshire but it seems the candidates are focusing more on South Carolina. New Hampshire is in Romney’s backyard and it looks like he will win the state as expected. Romney in New Hampshire may be compared to a major university playing a smaller university in football. If the larger school wins, it was suppose to win while if the larger school loses the contest then it is a major upset with major ramifications for the larger school.

Romney should win New Hampshire so the real question is who will come in second. Can the candidate with the second place showing then turn it to his advantage in South Carolina by coming out with a victory?

The New York Times pointed out in an article on January 3 that the candidates were “happy to cede the state and move on to South Carolina”. McCain is contacting his 2008 supporters to shore up support for Romney and converting those who support other candidates to Romney. If Romney wins South Carolina, it will be difficult for any other contenders to defeat him for the nomination as he will have the momentum of three wins. Romney knows he cannot cede South Carolina to the other candidates as he did in 2008.

The other candidates are pulling out all the stops to derail Romney in South Carolina. Knowing this is his opponents’ strategy, Romney is increasing his presence in the state through increased staff and personal appearances. John McCain stated what is at stake this way: “If Mitt Romney wins here, he will be the next president of the United States.”

Crossposted and adapted from Caffeinated Carolina

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Comments

  1. says

    Hmmm, does Callista care that Newt is visiting Florence???  ;) 

    At the end of this article, at first I misread it and thought it said:

    Composted and adapted from Caffeinated Carolina.

    LOL.

  2. says

    There were two articles on Caffeinated Carolina about the South Carolina strategy, but I see that you-all have combined them into one here.  I posted a comment on one of them over there, but I didn’t realize the article would eventually be appearing here too (or else I would have waited to post).  Since it’s relevant, hopefully it’s OK if I repeat that comment here as well.
    ——————————————————————————————————————————————– 

    John McCain stated what is at stake this way:John Who?  ;)That’s a good assessment.  The battle in SC is extremely important.  But one thing that bothers me is the defeatism that I’m seeing among so many conservatives.  They look at one tiny fluctuation in the polls (which are extrenely flaky anyway) and then start moaning:”Santorum has stopped surging!!!””Oh, no–Romney’s gonna win this thing!””This is like 2008 all over again!””I’m moving to China!!!!”  When I hear stuff like this, it makes me want to go up to these folks and shake them and say, “Where’s your faith??”  Doesn’t anybody have any faith anymore?  The Bible says that we walk by faith, not by sight.  Granted, the political situation is often very discouraging, and I’m not trying to minimize that or pretend that I’m not overwhelmed by doubt a lot myself.  But it’s just infuriating to read so many of these fatalistic comments.  What’s one reason for them?  Probably the polls.  The polls do a ton of mischief, and many people, including me, are convinced that polls are shady tools that are often used to manipulate (not merely reflect) public opinion.  Just a couple of days ago, in fact, Rick Santorum advised us all to ignore the polls and ignore the pundits.  Well, I definitely think Rico Suave is right!  :)I think it’s very important that we limit our intake of “negative news,” which some would consider “negative energy.”  In a recent interview, Madonna was asked how she deals with all the press that’s written about her.  Her response?  “I never read anything about myself.”  I think that’s actually pretty smart.  She actively limits what she reads, and so should we.  I do think it’s OK to glance at the polls occasionally, of course, but to check them compulsively or blindly shows a lack of faith IMO.  How many times have you been in a good mood, only to read a discouraging poll, a slanted news story, or a dimwitted comment beneath an article or elsewhere, and then you start feeling defeated?  It’s happened to me more times than I’d care to admit.  I think the key is to be, like Madonna, very selective about the media we take in.  If Satan can’t get to us in any other way, he would love to sap all our optimism and enthusiasm by causing us to focus on the latest poll or defeatist comment or gloomy news story.There’s a Pat Benatar song that hits the nail on the head concerning the defeatism that seems to be running rampant among conservatives lately.  Here are some key lyrics from it:  Everybody go round, go round, go roundEverybody lay down, lay down, lay downDon’t nobody make a soundEverybody lay downEverybody give up, give up, give upNobody hang tough, hang tough, hang toughLife a little too roughEverybody lay downhttp://www.youtube.com/watch?v=MIpva8TtHGMThe battle is just beginning, so now is not the time for anybody to be lying down.  So, whenever you start to feel deflated, go check the song out on YouTube.  I guarantee you it will shake you out of your doldrums big-time!  LOL.

  3. says

    Disqus sure seems to be a strange animal.  I had another comment that was awaiting moderation.  Then it was approved, but the formatting was all awry.  So, I edited it.  I reloaded the page, and everything looked hunky-dory and Disqus had no complaints.  I come back later, and the comment is “back” in moderation. I guess it all depends on what “mood” Disqus is in. I’ll probably come back in a few hours and Disqus will have changed its mind again–what a flip-flopper! ;)

  4. says

    Disqus sure seems to be a strange animal.  I had another comment that was awaiting moderation.  Then it was approved, but the formatting was all awry.  So, I edited it.  I reloaded the page, and everything looked hunky-dory and Disqus had no complaints.  I come back later, and the comment is “back” in moderation. I guess it all depends on what “mood” Disqus is in. I’ll probably come back in a few hours and Disqus will have changed its mind again–what a flip-flopper! ;)