marco-rubio-donald-trump-ted-cruz
Photo credit: Gage Skidmore (CC-By-SA 2.0)

I’ll say right off the bat that I don’t take national polling very seriously. A couple of polls were released yesterday that bucked the trend of Donald Trump dominating national polling. If it were just one I would have ignored it, but two suggests a pattern perhaps.  I think the most interesting takeaway from both of these polls is the polling done with a hypothetical one on one with Donald Trump.

The NBC/Wall Street Journal Poll shows a tighter race with Trump only leading by 3 points.

  1. Donald Trump – 30%
  2. Ted Cruz – 27%
  3. John Kasich – 22%
  4. Marco Rubio – 20%

This particular poll hasn’t always been the most favorable for Trump as last month Cruz led by two points.

The thing that I find most interesting is they polled head to head if the GOP race became a two-man race. They note: “Cruz and Kasich best Trump by an identical 17 points, 57 percent to 40 percent, while Rubio beats Trump by 13 points, 56 percent to 43 percent.”

The latest ABC News/Washington Post poll shows Trump in the lead with 9 points, which I think is probably more accurate.

  1. Trump – 34%
  2. Cruz – 25%
  3. Rubio – 18%
  4. Kasich – 13%

They also note that Cruz and Rubio beats Donald Trump in a two-person race. Cruz bests Trump 54% to 41%, and Rubio would lead Trump 51% to 45%.

A brokered convention is a big gamble. Cruz has shown that he can take on Donald Trump. This race needs to boil down to Cruz and Trump. I’d prefer to see before March 15th than after, but it absolutely needs to happen should Kasich and Rubio not win their home states.

 

You May Also Like

Richards Calls On Feenstra, King to Agree to Televised Debate

Bret Richards says U.S. Rep. Steve King and State Sen. Randy Feenstra did voters in Iowa’s 4th Congressional District a disservice by refusing Iowa PBS debate.

The Truth-Challenged Donald Trump

Shane Vander Hart: If anyone in the GOP 2016 presidential field has a problem with the truth it is real estate mogul and current front runner Donald Trump.

Rubio, Santorum and Huckabee Discuss Education

Marco Rubio, Rick Santorum, and Mike Huckabee discussed a proper federal government role with K-12 education at the 2015 Presidential Family Forum.

Iowan Reaction to House Vote on Trump Impeachment Inquiry

Iowa’s elected officials and candidates running for federal office sounded off on the U.S. House vote to formalize an impeachment inquiry of President Trump.