The bump in the polls that Donald Trump received after the Republican National Convention has been erased now that the Democratic National Convention has wrapped up putting Hillary Clinton back on top.
In the latest CNN/ORC poll there is a 12 point swing. Clinton leads Trump 52% to 43% in a head to head poll. Their last poll showed Trump leading by 3 points. Clinton leads by 7 points in their four-way poll leading Trump 45% to 37% with Libertarian candidate Gary Johnson polling at 9% and Green Party candidate Jill Stein at 5%.
While both Trump and Clinton have problems, it seems Clinton’s base is more supportive. Voters were asked if their vote for Clinton or Trump was a vote for their candidate or a vote against the other candidate.
58% of Clinton voters said it was a vote for Hillary Clinton, not a vote against Donald Trump. 41% of Clinton voters said it was a vote against Donald Trump. Half of Trump’s support see their vote as a vote against Clinton (50%) instead of a vote for Trump (47%).
Clinton’s favorability rating fares better than Trumps among registered voters with 43% having a favorable view of Clinton and 54% having an unfavorable view. Trump has a 33% favorability rating with 61% saying they view him unfavorably.
Clinton saw a seven point swing in head to head polling in the latest CBS poll taken after the DNC. Trump led Clinton by 1 point in the last CBS poll after the Republican National Convention. Now Clinton leads 47% to 41%. She also retains her lead when Johnson is added leading Trump by five points – 43% to 38% with Johnson polling 3rd with 10%.
Trump’s five point lead among independents in the CBS poll has been cut to a 2 point lead.
The LA Times/USC poll still has Trump leading Clinton, but that lead has been cut by five points since last week. The lone exception to post-Democrat convention polling is the Economist/YouGov poll which shows Clinton’s lead drop by two points from leading Trump by 5 points last week to only leading him by 3 points this week.
This race is still very close, but it appears Donald Trump’s short-lived lead in national polling is gone.
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